Prediction Markets

Next French presidential election winner?

Marine Le Pen

Édouard Philippe

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Chiang Wan-an

Shen Bo-yang

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Toronto mayoral election winner?

Olivia Chow

Brad Bradford

Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?

At least 70%

At least 75%

Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?

Above 20

Above 23

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

Israeli legislative election winner?

Yashar

Likud

New Taipei mayoral election winner?

Su Chiao-hui

Lee Shu-chuan

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

At least 52%

At least 52.5%

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Amapá

Amazonas

Which referendum questions will pass in Alberta?

Question 9

Question 6

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

At least 48%

At least 49%

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Lula da Silva, ≥1%

Lula da Silva, ≥3%

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%

British Columbia general election winner?

BC Conservatives

BC NDP

Taiwan Local Elections winner?

Kuomintang

Democratic Progressive Party

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Édouard Philippe

Prešov mayoral election winner?

František Oľha

Rastislav Mochnacký

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Marine Le Pen

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Nigerian Senate election winner?

APC

PDP

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Religious Zionist Party

The Democrats

Hsinchu County magistrate election winner?

Cheng Chao-fang

Hsu Hsin-ying

Ottawa mayoral election winner?

Mark Sutcliffe

Alex Lawson

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Magdalena Andersson

Ulf Kristersson

Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?

Alice Weidel

Friedrich Merz

Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?

Green Party

Centre Party

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Likud

Yashar

Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

Allyson

Cadu de Lula

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